There is a great belief today that the world's coming to an end in 2012, predictably in December 2012. This prediction is said to be based on an ancient Mayan calender which is said to come to an abrupt end in December 2012, thus a belief that the world would eventually end during this time.
Numerous theories have been disccussed pertaining to this end of the world scenario. Countless movies have also been churned by Hollywood to portray this to the masses. Is it all really coming to an end?
Well, let us analyse the situation in a logical and rationale manner. Here are some of the possible reasons for a global meltdown which I believe is possible.
Firstly, the easiest way the world is going to end would be a nuclear war between nations. Now, based on today's data, the only countries which possess this technology would include the USA, UK, France, China, Russia, India, Pakistan and North Korea. It is widely believed Israel does too. So if there is a nuclear war, it has to involve these countries. Now as we know, out of these, the USA, UK, France, Russia, India and Pakistan are functional democracies and have always kept the nuclear option at bay. Therefore the only threat would be China and North Korea. China is also an emerging economy and thus the use of a nuke would only devastate China itself and therefore the government may not be apt to use a nuke in a wartime situation. The only possibility therefore is North Korea. But the politics of the North is in transition now as Kim Jong II is being replaed by his son and his policies are still unclear. The western nations are also engaging North Korea rather than striking a military embargo on it. Therefore the probability of a nuclear catostrophe is quite low, perhaps just 2% probability.
The second means of global destruction is by a virus epidemic which could kill all mankind. As of today there is no indication of any epidemic. The nearest deadly diseases that we have are HIV and SARS virus. I am very sceptical that a new untreatable virus would emerge within the next 1 year.
However, the probability of this would be higher than the nuke factor. I would rate the probabity at 10%.
The 3rd means would be a meteor strike to our planet. A meteor strike would devastate the planet. However, if a meteor is to struck Earth, wouldn't NASA and other space agencies detected and calculated this years earlier? Wouldn't we have done something about it? Something like they did in the Armagedon movie? Therefore I think this is not a remote possibility.
The 4th means would be natural disasters. Something like what they showed in 2012, the movie. Based on the past few years there had been many disasters. Even astrology has predicted these natural disasters to occur during these period of time. The latest being the Japanese quake of 2011. So is natural disaster going to cause the end of our planet. Possibly yes, but the magnitute of it has to be so great and it has to happen simultaneously to all parts of the world. I feel this is quite difficult to occur. To say that tsunami, volcano eruptions, earthquakes and hurricanes happening simultaneously worlwide is a remote possibilitiy as the tectonic plates don't cover many places in Earth. Though high in probability natural disasters simultaneously in all parts of the world is still a low probability.
The 5th means which I can think of is an alien invasion. Yes, you are right you may be thinking I'm crazy. However, many people belief this is a possibility. The Mayans, who's calender this prediction is based upon were widely believed to have came in contact with extra terresterials. There are numerous gossips about what's happening in Area 51, Nevada as well. So, would the aliens land? I guess only time will tell. Or have they landed and are among us, just waiting for the opportune time to reveal it? The possibility is there.
So, out of the 5 theories above, only 1 seems to be logical yet far fetched, which is the alien theory. So therefore Earth still have a 80% possibility of survival. So I guess we should not be scared and fear that the world would end. Instead, we should take each day by its stride, and live our life to the fullest believing that there definetely is a better tommorow for all of us. We should learn to plant the apple seed even if the world is ending tommorow!...
My conclusion, the Earth and mankind would live for many many years to come...Amen!
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